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Brief Depression Or Named Storm Likely East Of Carolinas

Tropical Outlook
National Hurricane Center
Brief depression or named storm is likely east of the Carolinas; another is still likely over the open tropical Atlantic.

An area of low pressure forecasters have been monitoring north of the Bahamas this week is located about 100 miles from Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, on Friday morning. The low is gradually becoming better organized and should become a depression or named storm later Friday or Saturday. It is forecast to move out to sea and lose its tropical characteristics Saturday night and Sunday. Rough surf is likely near the North Carolina coast Friday into Saturday from this system.

Two other systems may develop over the weekend in the tropical Atlantic. So far, what forecasters are calling "95L" -- a tropical wave between Africa and the Lesser Antilles -- has been slow to develop. The National Hurricane Center says there remains a high chance for the system to become a depression or named storm. It is forecast to pass near or just north of the Leeward Islands early next week. There is considerable uncertainty in its future path and intensity during the middle and latter part of next week, but the latest model ensembles are favoring a path that would take the system out to sea. This may change in future forecasts, however.

The remnant of what was once Hurricane Nicholas has dissipated over Louisiana. Moisture from it remains in place from Louisiana to Florida, where widespread showers and thunderstorms are forecast over the upcoming weekend. Areas of flash flooding are still possible over the Panhandle, where Flash Flood Watches remain in effect through Friday evening. Pockets of flooding may also extend into other areas of North and Central Florida through the weekend.