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Forecasters expect tropical cyclone activity could resemble seasons in 2006, 2009, 2015 and 2023. El Nino plays a prominent role in each of the seasons.
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La Niña officially emerged in September 2025 and lasted until April. Neutral conditions are present, but a El Niño is expected to emerge later in 2026.
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Colorado State University’s 2026 Atlantic hurricane season outlook calls for below-normal activity across the Atlantic basin due to a likely transition into an El Niño.
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The National Hurricane Center is rolling out upgraded products for the 2026 hurricane season, including a redesigned cone graphic, new storm surge tools and improved access for mobile users.
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The WMO has retired the name Melissa from its Atlantic basin naming lists after the Category 5 system became the strongest hurricane on record to make landfall in Jamaica.
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The National Hurricane Center is expanding its use of artificial intelligence tools to enhance hurricane tracking and intensity forecasts. The 2026 hurricane season will begin on June 1, 2026.
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The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season runs through the end of the November, but without any expected development, forecasters have released their seasonal summaries.
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An unnamed hurricane, which struck the Grand Strand on October 31, 1899, remains the latest hurricane on record to make landfall on the Palmetto State.
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Forecasters are monitoring two areas of disturbed weather in the Atlantic. The tropical wave that is in the central Atlantic has the better chance of developing once it moves into the Caribbean Sea.
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Tropical Storm Imelda will stay offshore the Carolinas but will still help to produce heavy rain, rough surf, rip currents and minor coastal flooding. Meanwhile, Hurricane Humberto churns in the Atlantic, adding to hazardous beach conditions.