Justin Ballard

The winter months tend to be the driest months of the year in the state and this can be exacerbated during a La Niña winter. Drought conditions are expected to develop in the Savannah River Valley, with drought conditions worsening across portions of the Upstate.

Spaghetti models are a combination of different model ensembles. It shows the different paths a storm may take, but neither is it a crystal ball. A spaghetti model does not forecast a storm’s strength or potential impact. They are a simple way of communicating where a storm may travel given the data available at the time. Generally, they are used by meteorologists to give a geographical range to the public

The Atlantic is experiencing a below-average level of Accumulated Cyclone Energy, known as ACE, for this period of the hurricane season. According to Brian McNoldy, Senior Research Associate at the University of Miami Rosenstiel School, as of August 26 the ACE will fall to just 13% of the average value of the past 50 years.