With the main storm track expected to remain well north of the Palmetto State over the next week, warmer and breezy conditions will continue to dominate the forecast.
A broad ridge of high pressure is projected to largely stay in control through much of the pre-Thanksgiving period, helping to lock in temperatures above seasonal norms and limiting opportunities for meaningful rainfall.
Typically, afternoon highs in mid-November are in the 60s, while overnight lows fall into the 40s.
During the Thanksgiving holiday run-up, temperature anomalies will be most pronounced in the Upstate and the Grand Strand, where a late-fall heat wave will produce mild overnight lows and daytime highs running 5 to 10 degrees above average.
A few weak frontal boundaries are forecast to approach the region over the next week, but none are expected to be powerful enough to usher in noticeably cooler air.
Forecast models indicate the boundaries may kick off a few scattered showers, which could produce as much as half an inch of rain, but most communities will likely pick up less than a tenth of an inch.
Overall, the setup reflects a fairly classic La Niña pattern, which often leaves South Carolina warmer and drier than average as the main energy associated with storm systems passes the state to the north.
Look ahead to Thanksgiving Day week
Early indications suggest the week of Nov. 24 will continue the stretch of warm, breezy weather even after a weekend cold front.
While other parts of the country could be dealing with turbulent weather, including severe thunderstorms, pockets of ice and snow, the Palmetto State appears poised to avoid any widespread impacts as the Thanksgiving holiday approaches.
Forecast models indicate that there could be a pattern shift just after the holiday, but for now, if your travels keep you in the Southeast, there look to be no major impacts.
Temperatures through most of the holiday week are expected to run well above late-November averages, with some locations within grasp of record highs.
The forecast will continue to be fine-tuned as we get closer to Nov. 27, especially with several storm systems moving across the central and eastern U.S.
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