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Updated forecast calls for fewer hurricanes this season

Colorado State University has updated its seasonal hurricane forecast for 2026, reducing the number of storms expected across the Atlantic.

Colorado State University has lowered the number of storms for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season but despite the prediction, forecasters remind residents to stay prepared.

Colorado State's updated forecast includes:

  • Nine named storms
  • Four hurricanes
  • One major hurricane - category three or stronger

Forecasters say the main reason behind the reduction is the strengthening of El Niño during the heart of hurricane season, which typically runs from mid-August to mid-October.

El Niño is a natural climate pattern that develops when sea surface temperatures are warmer on the west coast side of the Pacific Ocean. The warmer waters can influence weather patterns across the globe.

El Niño doesn't just affect the Atlantic hurricane season. It also impacts global weather patterns leading to heavier rainfall and flooding in some regions, drought conditions in others, more frequent heat waves and reduced rainfall in certain areas.

A quieter forecast does not mean the hurricane threat has disappeared. History has shown that even below-average seasons can produce damaging storms.

Now is a good time to review your hurricane plan, check your emergency supplies, and stay informed throughout the season. Stay up-to-date on the latest weather information at South Carolina ETV and Public Radio.