The National Hurricane Center has labeled an area over northern Florida, which extends through the northwestern Gulf, with a 20% chance of tropical development through the next seven days.
In the short term, there’s no chance for development; in fact, there’s no system there as of Saturday evening. As the week progresses, we’re going to be monitoring a weak low-pressure system that will develop over the southeastern United States. This disturbance should move off the coast of the Carolinas between Monday and Tuesday. As the Bermuda High strengthens and moves west, this low-pressure system will be pushed west, likely over Florida.
There is a low chance for a tropical system to form in the next 7 days. This system will come from near the Carolinas and move onto the Gulf. There will still be plenty of instability around to bring rounds of showers and flood risk through the middle of next week. pic.twitter.com/nb8WqsDHwf
— SCETV (@SCETV) July 13, 2025
Once over the Gulf, the low-pressure system should begin to acquire a cluster of thunderstorms and perhaps a counterclockwise rotation. If a tropical storm forms, it will likely develop slowly, and we will continue to provide updates throughout the workweek. Please stay tuned for the release of our forecast throughout the week.
With an approaching cold front as well as the low pressure near North Florida, there will be plenty of instability nearby. There will be periods of heavy rains on Monday and Tuesday, especially across the northern Midlands and the Pee Dee, where there are between 2 and 4 inches of rain that could fall through late Tuesday morning. Higher isolated amounts are possible. Please stay away from areas where flooding is happening or is prone to happen.
Tuesday through Thursday, temperatures will remain cooler than average in the afternoon statewide, as more clouds are expected to take over our skies. Highs will be 3 to 5 degrees below average, staying between the upper 80s and low 90s.